Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.001499 0.001591 0.001686 0.001792 0.001906 0.002025 0.002160
2025-02-16 0.001403 0.001539 0.001684 0.001852 0.002042 0.002250 0.002495
2025-02-23 0.001299 0.001459 0.001636 0.001846 0.002092 0.002371 0.002714
2025-03-02 0.001194 0.001366 0.001560 0.001798 0.002084 0.002416 0.002838
2025-03-09 0.001115 0.001296 0.001505 0.001766 0.002086 0.002469 0.002967
2025-03-16 0.001064 0.001254 0.001478 0.001763 0.002120 0.002557 0.003140
2025-03-23 0.001011 0.001207 0.001441 0.001744 0.002131 0.002614 0.003274
2025-03-30 0.000970 0.001171 0.001415 0.001736 0.002153 0.002685 0.003426
2025-04-06 0.000926 0.001129 0.001378 0.001712 0.002152 0.002723 0.003535
2025-04-13 0.000883 0.001087 0.001341 0.001684 0.002143 0.002749 0.003627
2025-04-20 0.000831 0.001031 0.001282 0.001625 0.002090 0.002712 0.003628
2025-04-27 0.000817 0.001023 0.001284 0.001646 0.002145 0.002823 0.003842
2025-05-04 0.000798 0.001009 0.001282 0.001665 0.002203 0.002949 0.004096
2025-05-11 0.000795 0.001018 0.001309 0.001725 0.002322 0.003167 0.004502
2025-05-18 0.000769 0.000993 0.001290 0.001721 0.002348 0.003253 0.004713
2025-05-25 0.000731 0.000951 0.001245 0.001678 0.002314 0.003247 0.004780
2025-06-01 0.000700 0.000918 0.001212 0.001648 0.002299 0.003268 0.004890
2025-06-08 0.000680 0.000899 0.001197 0.001645 0.002323 0.003349 0.005100
2025-06-15 0.000657 0.000874 0.001173 0.001628 0.002324 0.003393 0.005251
2025-06-22 0.000638 0.000855 0.001157 0.001620 0.002339 0.003460 0.005446
2025-06-29 0.000616 0.000831 0.001132 0.001598 0.002330 0.003487 0.005571
2025-07-06 0.000594 0.000806 0.001105 0.001572 0.002314 0.003501 0.005673
2025-07-13 0.000565 0.000770 0.001061 0.001518 0.002251 0.003434 0.005625